|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
692.8 |
1933.7 |
2812.1 |
4006.4 |
5046.1 |
5933.7 |
6664.3 |
7267.8 |
7776.9 |
8222.3 |
8630.5 |
9022.9 |
9415.8 |
9820.5 |
10244.4 |
10691.2 |
11161.9 |
11655.0 |
12167.5 |
12695.2 |
13233.2 |
13776.0 |
14318.2 |
14854.4 |
15379.6 |
15889.5 |
16380.3 |
16848.7 |
17292.2 |
17709.2 |
18098.5 |
18460.0 |
18793.8 |
19100.9 |
19382.7 |
19641.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5542.0 |
5553.9 |
5565.2 |
5566.5 |
5573.3 |
5590.5 |
5620.6 |
5664.0 |
5719.7 |
5786.5 |
5862.6 |
5946.7 |
6037.3 |
6133.1 |
6233.0 |
6336.2 |
6442.0 |
6549.9 |
6659.4 |
6770.3 |
6882.5 |
6995.8 |
7110.3 |
7225.8 |
7342.6 |
7460.6 |
7580.0 |
7700.7 |
7822.9 |
7946.7 |
8072.0 |
8198.9 |
8327.5 |
8457.8 |
8589.8 |
8723.5 |
Investment |
fI |
-1434.7 |
-2036.8 |
111.7 |
1920.1 |
3260.8 |
4298.6 |
5101.0 |
5689.0 |
6084.2 |
6312.5 |
6402.9 |
6384.8 |
6285.7 |
6130.3 |
5939.6 |
5730.6 |
5516.6 |
5307.5 |
5110.2 |
4929.1 |
4766.7 |
4624.0 |
4500.6 |
4395.5 |
4307.2 |
4234.0 |
4174.2 |
4125.8 |
4087.4 |
4057.4 |
4034.8 |
4018.5 |
4008.0 |
4002.8 |
4002.7 |
4007.4 |
Export |
fE |
3008.1 |
5126.2 |
7288.5 |
9499.8 |
11699.2 |
13822.1 |
15811.9 |
17621.7 |
19215.2 |
20567.1 |
21662.7 |
22497.6 |
23075.6 |
23407.9 |
23511.4 |
23407.4 |
23120.4 |
22676.7 |
22103.8 |
21429.3 |
20680.2 |
19882.4 |
19060.5 |
18236.9 |
17432.3 |
16664.7 |
15950.0 |
15301.8 |
14731.2 |
14247.0 |
13855.8 |
13562.2 |
13368.6 |
13275.9 |
13282.9 |
13387.3 |
Import |
fM |
355.3 |
899.9 |
2583.3 |
4321.7 |
5806.9 |
7125.3 |
8297.6 |
9327.2 |
10218.5 |
10979.0 |
11618.4 |
12147.8 |
12578.6 |
12921.9 |
13188.5 |
13388.1 |
13529.7 |
13621.8 |
13671.7 |
13686.5 |
13672.5 |
13635.5 |
13580.9 |
13513.6 |
13438.3 |
13359.4 |
13280.9 |
13206.6 |
13139.9 |
13083.9 |
13041.7 |
13015.6 |
13008.1 |
13021.1 |
13056.2 |
13114.6 |
GDP |
fY |
7246.7 |
9236.1 |
12541.8 |
15859.7 |
18821.1 |
21443.4 |
23715.1 |
25636.1 |
27217.8 |
28482.2 |
29457.7 |
30176.7 |
30673.5 |
30981.7 |
31134.0 |
31160.6 |
31089.5 |
30945.7 |
30751.6 |
30526.9 |
30288.6 |
30051.3 |
29827.7 |
29628.0 |
29461.2 |
29334.4 |
29253.2 |
29222.1 |
29244.6 |
29322.7 |
29458.1 |
29651.2 |
29902.0 |
30209.9 |
30573.5 |
30990.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-11.626 |
-10.514 |
-7.912 |
-4.882 |
-1.836 |
1.033 |
3.603 |
5.798 |
7.583 |
8.953 |
9.922 |
10.522 |
10.790 |
10.770 |
10.507 |
10.044 |
9.421 |
8.678 |
7.847 |
6.960 |
6.042 |
5.117 |
4.203 |
3.316 |
2.469 |
1.674 |
0.936 |
0.263 |
-0.341 |
-0.875 |
-1.336 |
-1.726 |
-2.046 |
-2.298 |
-2.485 |
-2.611 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
6.341 |
5.339 |
3.951 |
2.390 |
0.833 |
-0.627 |
-1.930 |
-3.039 |
-3.937 |
-4.622 |
-5.104 |
-5.397 |
-5.523 |
-5.503 |
-5.360 |
-5.116 |
-4.793 |
-4.409 |
-3.981 |
-3.526 |
-3.056 |
-2.583 |
-2.116 |
-1.664 |
-1.233 |
-0.828 |
-0.453 |
-0.111 |
0.195 |
0.465 |
0.699 |
0.896 |
1.057 |
1.183 |
1.276 |
1.339 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.227 |
-0.228 |
-0.132 |
-0.032 |
0.056 |
0.135 |
0.202 |
0.255 |
0.295 |
0.323 |
0.339 |
0.346 |
0.345 |
0.337 |
0.325 |
0.310 |
0.292 |
0.273 |
0.253 |
0.233 |
0.214 |
0.195 |
0.177 |
0.161 |
0.145 |
0.131 |
0.119 |
0.108 |
0.098 |
0.090 |
0.082 |
0.076 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.217 |
0.242 |
0.128 |
0.010 |
-0.077 |
-0.144 |
-0.191 |
-0.220 |
-0.232 |
-0.231 |
-0.220 |
-0.201 |
-0.178 |
-0.152 |
-0.125 |
-0.100 |
-0.076 |
-0.055 |
-0.037 |
-0.023 |
-0.011 |
-0.002 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.010 |
0.014 |
-0.004 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.009 |
0.010 |
0.035 |
0.063 |
0.091 |
0.119 |
0.145 |
0.167 |
0.186 |
0.200 |
0.210 |
0.216 |
0.217 |
0.216 |
0.211 |
0.203 |
0.193 |
0.181 |
0.169 |
0.155 |
0.142 |
0.128 |
0.115 |
0.102 |
0.091 |
0.081 |
0.071 |
0.064 |
0.057 |
0.052 |
0.048 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.273 |
0.387 |
0.363 |
0.281 |
0.183 |
0.085 |
0.000 |
-0.065 |
-0.103 |
-0.112 |
-0.092 |
-0.045 |
0.028 |
0.122 |
0.232 |
0.355 |
0.487 |
0.623 |
0.760 |
0.894 |
1.023 |
1.145 |
1.257 |
1.360 |
1.451 |
1.531 |
1.599 |
1.657 |
1.703 |
1.740 |
1.768 |
1.788 |
1.802 |
1.809 |
1.812 |
1.812 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.291 |
0.501 |
0.600 |
0.605 |
0.530 |
0.386 |
0.187 |
-0.054 |
-0.322 |
-0.605 |
-0.893 |
-1.175 |
-1.447 |
-1.701 |
-1.935 |
-2.146 |
-2.334 |
-2.497 |
-2.637 |
-2.754 |
-2.849 |
-2.925 |
-2.982 |
-3.023 |
-3.049 |
-3.062 |
-3.064 |
-3.056 |
-3.040 |
-3.017 |
-2.989 |
-2.957 |
-2.922 |
-2.885 |
-2.847 |
-2.809 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.384 |
-0.533 |
-0.706 |
-0.845 |
-0.946 |
-1.016 |
-1.057 |
-1.074 |
-1.071 |
-1.051 |
-1.019 |
-0.978 |
-0.929 |
-0.877 |
-0.821 |
-0.765 |
-0.710 |
-0.655 |
-0.602 |
-0.552 |
-0.505 |
-0.460 |
-0.419 |
-0.381 |
-0.347 |
-0.316 |
-0.289 |
-0.265 |
-0.244 |
-0.227 |
-0.213 |
-0.201 |
-0.193 |
-0.187 |
-0.183 |
-0.182 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.777 |
-0.851 |
-0.929 |
-0.985 |
-1.021 |
-1.044 |
-1.055 |
-1.059 |
-1.058 |
-1.053 |
-1.046 |
-1.037 |
-1.028 |
-1.018 |
-1.010 |
-1.001 |
-0.994 |
-0.988 |
-0.983 |
-0.979 |
-0.976 |
-0.974 |
-0.973 |
-0.972 |
-0.973 |
-0.974 |
-0.976 |
-0.978 |
-0.981 |
-0.984 |
-0.987 |
-0.991 |
-0.995 |
-0.998 |
-1.002 |
-1.005 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.392 |
-0.461 |
-0.527 |
-0.580 |
-0.619 |
-0.643 |
-0.652 |
-0.649 |
-0.634 |
-0.609 |
-0.575 |
-0.535 |
-0.490 |
-0.441 |
-0.390 |
-0.339 |
-0.288 |
-0.238 |
-0.190 |
-0.145 |
-0.103 |
-0.065 |
-0.031 |
-0.001 |
0.024 |
0.046 |
0.063 |
0.076 |
0.086 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.091 |
0.086 |
0.078 |
0.070 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.282 |
-0.480 |
-0.631 |
-0.739 |
-0.799 |
-0.812 |
-0.782 |
-0.714 |
-0.615 |
-0.491 |
-0.348 |
-0.192 |
-0.028 |
0.140 |
0.306 |
0.467 |
0.621 |
0.764 |
0.896 |
1.016 |
1.121 |
1.212 |
1.289 |
1.352 |
1.401 |
1.437 |
1.461 |
1.474 |
1.476 |
1.469 |
1.454 |
1.431 |
1.403 |
1.370 |
1.333 |
1.293 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.400 |
-0.522 |
-0.615 |
-0.692 |
-0.751 |
-0.792 |
-0.816 |
-0.823 |
-0.816 |
-0.795 |
-0.764 |
-0.724 |
-0.677 |
-0.625 |
-0.569 |
-0.512 |
-0.454 |
-0.396 |
-0.341 |
-0.287 |
-0.237 |
-0.191 |
-0.148 |
-0.110 |
-0.077 |
-0.048 |
-0.024 |
-0.004 |
0.010 |
0.021 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.020 |
0.011 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.315 |
-0.394 |
-0.457 |
-0.508 |
-0.546 |
-0.571 |
-0.583 |
-0.584 |
-0.574 |
-0.556 |
-0.531 |
-0.499 |
-0.464 |
-0.425 |
-0.384 |
-0.343 |
-0.302 |
-0.262 |
-0.224 |
-0.188 |
-0.155 |
-0.125 |
-0.099 |
-0.076 |
-0.056 |
-0.040 |
-0.027 |
-0.018 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.019 |
-0.027 |
-0.035 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.116 |
-0.079 |
-0.051 |
0.002 |
0.043 |
0.076 |
0.098 |
0.109 |
0.111 |
0.107 |
0.098 |
0.086 |
0.072 |
0.059 |
0.047 |
0.037 |
0.030 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.030 |
0.037 |
0.045 |
0.055 |
0.065 |
0.076 |
0.086 |
0.097 |
0.107 |
0.117 |
0.126 |
0.134 |
0.141 |
0.147 |
0.151 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.185 |
-0.248 |
-0.300 |
-0.325 |
-0.328 |
-0.313 |
-0.283 |
-0.244 |
-0.198 |
-0.148 |
-0.097 |
-0.046 |
0.002 |
0.048 |
0.089 |
0.126 |
0.158 |
0.186 |
0.208 |
0.226 |
0.239 |
0.247 |
0.252 |
0.253 |
0.251 |
0.245 |
0.238 |
0.228 |
0.216 |
0.203 |
0.190 |
0.175 |
0.161 |
0.146 |
0.131 |
0.117 |
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