|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1.6 |
-384.2 |
-477.0 |
-249.4 |
-2.1 |
223.2 |
411.0 |
562.4 |
683.5 |
781.3 |
862.6 |
933.3 |
998.4 |
1061.8 |
1126.5 |
1194.5 |
1267.0 |
1344.6 |
1427.3 |
1514.8 |
1606.2 |
1700.7 |
1797.1 |
1894.3 |
1991.2 |
2086.6 |
2179.5 |
2269.0 |
2354.1 |
2434.3 |
2509.0 |
2577.7 |
2640.3 |
2696.7 |
2746.8 |
2790.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
86.2 |
80.1 |
62.9 |
32.5 |
-1.5 |
-35.1 |
-66.3 |
-94.3 |
-119.1 |
-140.6 |
-159.2 |
-175.2 |
-189.1 |
-201.0 |
-211.4 |
-220.5 |
-228.7 |
-236.0 |
-242.7 |
-249.0 |
-254.8 |
-260.4 |
-265.7 |
-270.9 |
-275.9 |
-280.8 |
-285.6 |
-290.3 |
-294.9 |
-299.5 |
-304.0 |
-308.5 |
-313.0 |
-317.4 |
-321.8 |
-326.3 |
Investment |
fI |
-2124.6 |
-3241.0 |
-2329.1 |
-1703.8 |
-1356.3 |
-1104.7 |
-893.4 |
-718.9 |
-583.4 |
-486.8 |
-426.7 |
-398.6 |
-397.5 |
-417.7 |
-454.3 |
-502.4 |
-558.3 |
-618.7 |
-681.2 |
-743.9 |
-805.5 |
-865.1 |
-922.4 |
-977.1 |
-1029.1 |
-1078.7 |
-1126.1 |
-1171.5 |
-1215.1 |
-1257.4 |
-1298.4 |
-1338.4 |
-1377.6 |
-1416.1 |
-1454.1 |
-1491.4 |
Export |
fE |
408.9 |
668.5 |
952.5 |
1293.7 |
1675.6 |
2081.5 |
2495.8 |
2903.9 |
3292.9 |
3651.7 |
3971.8 |
4247.0 |
4473.6 |
4649.7 |
4775.6 |
4852.6 |
4883.7 |
4872.5 |
4823.6 |
4741.8 |
4632.4 |
4500.5 |
4351.6 |
4191.0 |
4023.4 |
3853.5 |
3685.6 |
3523.7 |
3371.1 |
3230.8 |
3105.4 |
2997.0 |
2907.2 |
2837.1 |
2787.6 |
2759.1 |
Import |
fM |
-1532.3 |
-2288.3 |
-1842.0 |
-1409.8 |
-1122.2 |
-882.9 |
-663.5 |
-463.4 |
-284.6 |
-128.4 |
4.8 |
115.7 |
205.4 |
275.5 |
327.6 |
363.3 |
384.4 |
392.2 |
388.2 |
373.8 |
350.1 |
318.3 |
279.5 |
234.8 |
185.2 |
131.6 |
75.0 |
16.3 |
-43.6 |
-103.9 |
-164.0 |
-222.9 |
-280.1 |
-334.9 |
-386.8 |
-435.4 |
GDP |
fY |
-174.8 |
-741.9 |
-137.1 |
566.7 |
1192.3 |
1773.8 |
2310.2 |
2791.8 |
3212.0 |
3568.1 |
3860.8 |
4093.1 |
4269.7 |
4396.5 |
4479.4 |
4524.5 |
4537.7 |
4524.6 |
4490.5 |
4439.8 |
4377.0 |
4305.8 |
4229.5 |
4151.1 |
4073.1 |
3997.8 |
3927.2 |
3862.7 |
3806.0 |
3757.9 |
3719.5 |
3691.4 |
3674.1 |
3668.0 |
3673.2 |
3689.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.319 |
-3.004 |
-2.832 |
-2.363 |
-1.793 |
-1.178 |
-0.560 |
0.023 |
0.549 |
1.003 |
1.377 |
1.669 |
1.884 |
2.026 |
2.102 |
2.120 |
2.089 |
2.016 |
1.910 |
1.777 |
1.625 |
1.458 |
1.282 |
1.102 |
0.922 |
0.745 |
0.573 |
0.410 |
0.257 |
0.115 |
-0.013 |
-0.129 |
-0.230 |
-0.317 |
-0.390 |
-0.450 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.265 |
1.559 |
1.441 |
1.191 |
0.896 |
0.580 |
0.265 |
-0.032 |
-0.299 |
-0.528 |
-0.716 |
-0.863 |
-0.970 |
-1.040 |
-1.077 |
-1.084 |
-1.066 |
-1.028 |
-0.972 |
-0.904 |
-0.825 |
-0.739 |
-0.649 |
-0.557 |
-0.465 |
-0.374 |
-0.287 |
-0.204 |
-0.126 |
-0.054 |
0.011 |
0.070 |
0.121 |
0.165 |
0.202 |
0.232 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.030 |
0.005 |
0.018 |
0.039 |
0.060 |
0.080 |
0.101 |
0.120 |
0.136 |
0.150 |
0.162 |
0.171 |
0.178 |
0.183 |
0.186 |
0.189 |
0.190 |
0.190 |
0.190 |
0.190 |
0.189 |
0.188 |
0.188 |
0.187 |
0.186 |
0.186 |
0.186 |
0.186 |
0.186 |
0.187 |
0.188 |
0.189 |
0.190 |
0.192 |
0.193 |
0.195 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.056 |
0.127 |
0.097 |
0.061 |
0.037 |
0.017 |
-0.001 |
-0.014 |
-0.024 |
-0.031 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.087 |
0.132 |
0.114 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.097 |
0.100 |
0.105 |
0.112 |
0.120 |
0.128 |
0.136 |
0.145 |
0.152 |
0.160 |
0.166 |
0.172 |
0.177 |
0.181 |
0.184 |
0.187 |
0.189 |
0.190 |
0.191 |
0.191 |
0.192 |
0.192 |
0.192 |
0.192 |
0.192 |
0.192 |
0.193 |
0.193 |
0.194 |
0.195 |
0.197 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.203 |
0.416 |
0.543 |
0.640 |
0.725 |
0.803 |
0.877 |
0.948 |
1.020 |
1.095 |
1.173 |
1.255 |
1.343 |
1.435 |
1.530 |
1.630 |
1.732 |
1.837 |
1.942 |
2.049 |
2.155 |
2.261 |
2.366 |
2.469 |
2.570 |
2.670 |
2.767 |
2.862 |
2.954 |
3.045 |
3.133 |
3.219 |
3.304 |
3.387 |
3.469 |
3.549 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.011 |
0.019 |
0.002 |
-0.035 |
-0.089 |
-0.161 |
-0.250 |
-0.352 |
-0.466 |
-0.589 |
-0.718 |
-0.850 |
-0.983 |
-1.117 |
-1.248 |
-1.376 |
-1.501 |
-1.622 |
-1.738 |
-1.850 |
-1.957 |
-2.060 |
-2.159 |
-2.253 |
-2.344 |
-2.431 |
-2.516 |
-2.597 |
-2.676 |
-2.753 |
-2.828 |
-2.902 |
-2.974 |
-3.045 |
-3.115 |
-3.185 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.040 |
0.016 |
-0.040 |
-0.087 |
-0.124 |
-0.154 |
-0.177 |
-0.195 |
-0.207 |
-0.214 |
-0.217 |
-0.216 |
-0.213 |
-0.208 |
-0.200 |
-0.192 |
-0.183 |
-0.174 |
-0.164 |
-0.154 |
-0.144 |
-0.135 |
-0.126 |
-0.117 |
-0.109 |
-0.102 |
-0.095 |
-0.089 |
-0.083 |
-0.078 |
-0.073 |
-0.070 |
-0.067 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.060 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.014 |
-0.019 |
-0.043 |
-0.061 |
-0.072 |
-0.079 |
-0.083 |
-0.086 |
-0.087 |
-0.086 |
-0.085 |
-0.083 |
-0.081 |
-0.079 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.070 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.047 |
-0.056 |
-0.076 |
-0.095 |
-0.111 |
-0.124 |
-0.135 |
-0.142 |
-0.146 |
-0.147 |
-0.146 |
-0.143 |
-0.138 |
-0.131 |
-0.123 |
-0.114 |
-0.104 |
-0.095 |
-0.085 |
-0.075 |
-0.066 |
-0.057 |
-0.048 |
-0.040 |
-0.033 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.040 |
-0.090 |
-0.140 |
-0.184 |
-0.219 |
-0.245 |
-0.261 |
-0.267 |
-0.264 |
-0.253 |
-0.236 |
-0.214 |
-0.187 |
-0.157 |
-0.125 |
-0.093 |
-0.060 |
-0.028 |
0.002 |
0.031 |
0.058 |
0.083 |
0.105 |
0.124 |
0.140 |
0.154 |
0.165 |
0.173 |
0.179 |
0.183 |
0.184 |
0.183 |
0.181 |
0.177 |
0.172 |
0.166 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.049 |
-0.077 |
-0.104 |
-0.128 |
-0.149 |
-0.167 |
-0.182 |
-0.193 |
-0.200 |
-0.203 |
-0.204 |
-0.201 |
-0.196 |
-0.189 |
-0.181 |
-0.171 |
-0.161 |
-0.150 |
-0.139 |
-0.127 |
-0.116 |
-0.105 |
-0.095 |
-0.086 |
-0.077 |
-0.069 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.035 |
-0.057 |
-0.077 |
-0.096 |
-0.111 |
-0.124 |
-0.134 |
-0.141 |
-0.145 |
-0.147 |
-0.146 |
-0.144 |
-0.140 |
-0.134 |
-0.128 |
-0.120 |
-0.113 |
-0.105 |
-0.097 |
-0.089 |
-0.081 |
-0.074 |
-0.067 |
-0.061 |
-0.055 |
-0.051 |
-0.046 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.049 |
0.026 |
0.008 |
0.017 |
0.028 |
0.040 |
0.050 |
0.057 |
0.061 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.059 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.071 |
0.073 |
0.074 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.010 |
0.006 |
-0.013 |
-0.026 |
-0.034 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.022 |
-0.013 |
-0.002 |
0.009 |
0.020 |
0.030 |
0.041 |
0.050 |
0.059 |
0.067 |
0.075 |
0.081 |
0.086 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.091 |
0.089 |
0.086 |
0.084 |
0.081 |
0.078 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|