|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1763.0 |
3821.9 |
5132.5 |
5647.2 |
5610.2 |
5242.2 |
4701.5 |
4081.4 |
3440.4 |
2813.9 |
2218.0 |
1664.1 |
1163.0 |
713.3 |
311.5 |
-39.7 |
-343.0 |
-600.9 |
-817.1 |
-992.5 |
-1129.8 |
-1231.1 |
-1299.8 |
-1336.3 |
-1342.1 |
-1319.1 |
-1272.1 |
-1199.7 |
-1110.5 |
-1002.9 |
-878.3 |
-741.6 |
-591.2 |
-431.4 |
-268.4 |
-99.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-24.5 |
-57.7 |
-82.6 |
-97.4 |
-106.2 |
-112.3 |
-117.0 |
-120.8 |
-124.3 |
-127.7 |
-131.4 |
-135.5 |
-140.2 |
-145.4 |
-151.0 |
-157.1 |
-163.6 |
-170.2 |
-177.0 |
-183.8 |
-190.6 |
-197.4 |
-203.9 |
-210.2 |
-216.2 |
-222.0 |
-227.4 |
-232.6 |
-237.4 |
-241.9 |
-246.0 |
-250.0 |
-253.6 |
-257.2 |
-260.4 |
-263.5 |
Investment |
fI |
986.9 |
2855.7 |
4242.0 |
4830.9 |
4970.5 |
4894.0 |
4679.3 |
4373.4 |
4019.3 |
3640.1 |
3278.4 |
2952.0 |
2682.5 |
2452.5 |
2287.4 |
2162.8 |
2088.4 |
2055.7 |
2054.8 |
2082.5 |
2136.0 |
2211.3 |
2299.3 |
2412.5 |
2530.9 |
2660.7 |
2787.6 |
2905.3 |
3034.5 |
3154.1 |
3271.1 |
3401.7 |
3518.3 |
3629.9 |
3735.1 |
3839.4 |
Export |
fE |
701.1 |
1498.9 |
2356.7 |
3271.2 |
4236.6 |
5219.7 |
6207.9 |
7190.8 |
8164.7 |
9129.4 |
10082.8 |
11023.8 |
11952.4 |
12865.4 |
13759.4 |
14632.6 |
15480.9 |
16301.1 |
17088.7 |
17840.9 |
18554.6 |
19227.1 |
19858.5 |
20444.5 |
20986.8 |
21482.5 |
21935.9 |
22346.7 |
22717.7 |
23051.2 |
23349.8 |
23616.9 |
23855.2 |
24069.0 |
24261.9 |
24438.7 |
Import |
fM |
1123.1 |
2750.9 |
3834.1 |
4252.8 |
4323.9 |
4247.9 |
4113.8 |
3962.1 |
3820.8 |
3701.5 |
3620.9 |
3584.0 |
3596.4 |
3646.1 |
3739.4 |
3864.0 |
4017.7 |
4197.6 |
4393.6 |
4603.8 |
4824.3 |
5052.2 |
5279.8 |
5515.3 |
5745.0 |
5976.4 |
6197.5 |
6409.2 |
6615.9 |
6811.4 |
6998.5 |
7180.6 |
7352.4 |
7513.8 |
7664.1 |
7808.2 |
GDP |
fY |
2264.2 |
5227.6 |
7567.7 |
9090.3 |
10036.6 |
10617.6 |
10961.8 |
11154.7 |
11263.8 |
11333.7 |
11402.2 |
11491.7 |
11627.1 |
11799.4 |
12020.0 |
12278.1 |
12579.0 |
12911.3 |
13267.5 |
13643.0 |
14033.3 |
14432.4 |
14836.2 |
15244.2 |
15650.6 |
16049.4 |
16438.6 |
16812.1 |
17179.3 |
17530.3 |
17869.9 |
18208.8 |
18530.5 |
18842.8 |
19143.2 |
19438.7 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.234 |
5.978 |
9.767 |
12.932 |
15.351 |
17.118 |
18.364 |
19.220 |
19.813 |
20.227 |
20.550 |
20.836 |
21.130 |
21.439 |
21.791 |
22.172 |
22.585 |
23.021 |
23.467 |
23.913 |
24.350 |
24.772 |
25.163 |
25.535 |
25.866 |
26.166 |
26.421 |
26.632 |
26.806 |
26.936 |
27.028 |
27.091 |
27.120 |
27.118 |
27.090 |
27.040 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.325 |
10.343 |
8.447 |
6.931 |
5.773 |
4.932 |
4.342 |
3.937 |
3.659 |
3.461 |
3.306 |
3.167 |
3.023 |
2.869 |
2.696 |
2.507 |
2.303 |
2.088 |
1.869 |
1.650 |
1.436 |
1.229 |
1.038 |
0.857 |
0.695 |
0.550 |
0.426 |
0.324 |
0.241 |
0.179 |
0.135 |
0.105 |
0.092 |
0.095 |
0.109 |
0.135 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.282 |
-0.210 |
-0.096 |
0.011 |
0.083 |
0.130 |
0.160 |
0.176 |
0.184 |
0.187 |
0.188 |
0.188 |
0.190 |
0.193 |
0.199 |
0.207 |
0.217 |
0.228 |
0.241 |
0.255 |
0.270 |
0.285 |
0.301 |
0.316 |
0.331 |
0.346 |
0.360 |
0.373 |
0.386 |
0.398 |
0.409 |
0.420 |
0.430 |
0.439 |
0.448 |
0.456 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.217 |
0.048 |
-0.123 |
-0.237 |
-0.289 |
-0.303 |
-0.293 |
-0.268 |
-0.234 |
-0.195 |
-0.155 |
-0.118 |
-0.085 |
-0.056 |
-0.032 |
-0.011 |
0.004 |
0.017 |
0.026 |
0.032 |
0.036 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.065 |
-0.163 |
-0.219 |
-0.226 |
-0.206 |
-0.173 |
-0.134 |
-0.092 |
-0.050 |
-0.008 |
0.032 |
0.069 |
0.104 |
0.137 |
0.167 |
0.195 |
0.221 |
0.244 |
0.267 |
0.287 |
0.306 |
0.324 |
0.340 |
0.354 |
0.368 |
0.380 |
0.392 |
0.402 |
0.412 |
0.420 |
0.428 |
0.435 |
0.441 |
0.447 |
0.453 |
0.458 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.003 |
-0.140 |
-0.330 |
-0.510 |
-0.654 |
-0.757 |
-0.814 |
-0.827 |
-0.799 |
-0.730 |
-0.626 |
-0.491 |
-0.330 |
-0.145 |
0.059 |
0.280 |
0.516 |
0.763 |
1.019 |
1.284 |
1.556 |
1.832 |
2.112 |
2.395 |
2.679 |
2.963 |
3.248 |
3.532 |
3.814 |
4.095 |
4.373 |
4.648 |
4.920 |
5.189 |
5.454 |
5.715 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.299 |
0.494 |
0.577 |
0.567 |
0.494 |
0.382 |
0.247 |
0.099 |
-0.052 |
-0.202 |
-0.350 |
-0.495 |
-0.639 |
-0.782 |
-0.929 |
-1.078 |
-1.234 |
-1.396 |
-1.565 |
-1.743 |
-1.929 |
-2.123 |
-2.324 |
-2.534 |
-2.750 |
-2.972 |
-3.200 |
-3.432 |
-3.667 |
-3.905 |
-4.146 |
-4.387 |
-4.629 |
-4.872 |
-5.114 |
-5.354 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.126 |
-0.268 |
-0.352 |
-0.383 |
-0.382 |
-0.364 |
-0.338 |
-0.312 |
-0.289 |
-0.273 |
-0.263 |
-0.260 |
-0.264 |
-0.274 |
-0.288 |
-0.307 |
-0.329 |
-0.352 |
-0.377 |
-0.400 |
-0.423 |
-0.445 |
-0.465 |
-0.480 |
-0.496 |
-0.507 |
-0.518 |
-0.526 |
-0.532 |
-0.536 |
-0.538 |
-0.538 |
-0.537 |
-0.534 |
-0.530 |
-0.525 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.060 |
-0.110 |
-0.121 |
-0.108 |
-0.087 |
-0.067 |
-0.051 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.026 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.131 |
-0.242 |
-0.324 |
-0.392 |
-0.451 |
-0.504 |
-0.552 |
-0.596 |
-0.637 |
-0.676 |
-0.714 |
-0.749 |
-0.782 |
-0.813 |
-0.842 |
-0.867 |
-0.890 |
-0.911 |
-0.928 |
-0.942 |
-0.953 |
-0.961 |
-0.967 |
-0.970 |
-0.970 |
-0.968 |
-0.965 |
-0.959 |
-0.953 |
-0.945 |
-0.936 |
-0.926 |
-0.916 |
-0.906 |
-0.895 |
-0.885 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.302 |
-0.680 |
-0.965 |
-1.190 |
-1.373 |
-1.525 |
-1.653 |
-1.766 |
-1.868 |
-1.962 |
-2.051 |
-2.134 |
-2.213 |
-2.285 |
-2.352 |
-2.413 |
-2.466 |
-2.512 |
-2.550 |
-2.580 |
-2.603 |
-2.618 |
-2.626 |
-2.627 |
-2.623 |
-2.612 |
-2.597 |
-2.578 |
-2.556 |
-2.531 |
-2.504 |
-2.475 |
-2.446 |
-2.417 |
-2.387 |
-2.359 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.132 |
-0.254 |
-0.358 |
-0.446 |
-0.524 |
-0.594 |
-0.656 |
-0.714 |
-0.768 |
-0.820 |
-0.870 |
-0.919 |
-0.966 |
-1.011 |
-1.054 |
-1.095 |
-1.132 |
-1.167 |
-1.198 |
-1.225 |
-1.249 |
-1.269 |
-1.285 |
-1.298 |
-1.307 |
-1.314 |
-1.317 |
-1.317 |
-1.315 |
-1.311 |
-1.305 |
-1.298 |
-1.289 |
-1.279 |
-1.269 |
-1.258 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.092 |
-0.171 |
-0.234 |
-0.287 |
-0.332 |
-0.372 |
-0.407 |
-0.439 |
-0.469 |
-0.497 |
-0.524 |
-0.548 |
-0.572 |
-0.593 |
-0.613 |
-0.632 |
-0.648 |
-0.662 |
-0.674 |
-0.684 |
-0.691 |
-0.697 |
-0.700 |
-0.702 |
-0.702 |
-0.700 |
-0.698 |
-0.693 |
-0.688 |
-0.682 |
-0.676 |
-0.669 |
-0.661 |
-0.654 |
-0.646 |
-0.638 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.234 |
-0.110 |
0.017 |
0.112 |
0.158 |
0.170 |
0.162 |
0.142 |
0.114 |
0.082 |
0.051 |
0.019 |
-0.010 |
-0.036 |
-0.061 |
-0.082 |
-0.100 |
-0.116 |
-0.130 |
-0.142 |
-0.152 |
-0.160 |
-0.166 |
-0.171 |
-0.175 |
-0.178 |
-0.180 |
-0.180 |
-0.180 |
-0.179 |
-0.178 |
-0.176 |
-0.173 |
-0.170 |
-0.167 |
-0.164 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.113 |
-0.232 |
-0.293 |
-0.317 |
-0.326 |
-0.328 |
-0.330 |
-0.334 |
-0.339 |
-0.346 |
-0.354 |
-0.362 |
-0.369 |
-0.376 |
-0.381 |
-0.385 |
-0.387 |
-0.386 |
-0.384 |
-0.380 |
-0.375 |
-0.368 |
-0.360 |
-0.351 |
-0.342 |
-0.332 |
-0.322 |
-0.311 |
-0.301 |
-0.291 |
-0.282 |
-0.273 |
-0.265 |
-0.257 |
-0.250 |
-0.244 |
|
|
|
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